EXCLUSIVE: Madagascar in Turmoil – President in Hiding as Youth Uprising and Military Mutiny Engulf the Nation

10 月 15, 2025
6:11 上午
In This Article

A Nation Erupts in Protest

ANTANANARIVO, Madagascar — President Andry Rajoelina is reportedly in hiding after Madagascar’s capital was engulfed by massive protests and a military mutiny that has upended the country’s fragile democracy. What began as scattered demonstrations over water shortages and rolling blackouts has erupted into a nationwide rebellion led by a restless generation demanding change.

Tens of thousands of demonstrators have poured into the streets of Antananarivo over the past two weeks, chanting for Rajoelina’s resignation and denouncing years of corruption, unemployment, and inequality. Many of the protesters are young, educated, and disillusioned, their grievances fueled by frustration over rising prices and a government seen as detached from the daily struggles of ordinary citizens.

The protests have quickly evolved from spontaneous marches into a coordinated civic movement. Social media platforms have become command centers for organizing strikes, disseminating footage of police crackdowns, and rallying international attention to what many are calling a new fight for national dignity.

The Military Steps In

The crisis reached a tipping point when the elite CAPSAT military unit defected, declaring allegiance to the protesters and accusing the government of betraying the people. Within hours, soldiers took control of key state institutions, including the national broadcaster and presidential palace, effectively paralyzing the government.

Lawmakers moved to impeach Rajoelina, while Colonel Michael Randrianirina announced that the armed forces would dissolve all major institutions and oversee a “temporary civilian transition.” The colonel’s speech, broadcast on state radio, was met with cheers in the streets and deep concern in international circles.

Rajoelina, who has a long and controversial history with Madagascar’s military, appeared days later in a pre-recorded video from an undisclosed location, claiming he was forced into hiding after receiving threats against his life. He appealed for calm, urged respect for the constitution, and refused to resign, insisting that he remained the legitimate head of state.

Yet for many citizens, his plea came too late. The country has lived through multiple coups in recent decades, and public confidence in leadership is at an all-time low. The army’s intervention, though presented as a stabilizing force, has reopened old wounds about democracy’s fragility in one of the world’s poorest nations.

A Crisis Rooted in Inequality

Madagascar’s crisis is as much about economics as politics. Nearly 80 percent of its population lives in poverty, and for decades, the island’s vast natural wealth—from vanilla and gemstones to nickel and forests—has failed to translate into prosperity for its people.

Young protesters say they are fighting not only for new leadership but for a fair chance at a dignified life. Many have university degrees but few job prospects. Access to electricity, clean water, and education remains a luxury in much of the country.

The protests have drawn attention to how deeply inequality is woven into Madagascar’s social fabric. Chronic underinvestment in infrastructure and services has left millions struggling, while government elites grow richer. Rising food prices and worsening droughts, intensified by climate change, have added to the desperation.

Calls for Calm and Reform

Civil society leaders, religious figures, and regional diplomats are urging dialogue to prevent the country from sliding into further chaos. The Catholic Bishops’ Conference has called for “a national moment of conscience,” while women’s groups are organizing peace marches and community-led mediation efforts.

The African Union, United Nations, and neighboring states have issued statements of concern, warning that Madagascar’s instability could threaten regional peace and disrupt humanitarian operations. International aid organizations fear that prolonged unrest could worsen food shortages and displace tens of thousands of families.

Yet amid the uncertainty, many Malagasy citizens say this crisis could also represent a turning point. The uprising has awakened a powerful sense of civic agency among the youth—a belief that they can shape the country’s future rather than inherit its failures.

The Road Ahead

For Madagascar, the road forward is fraught with risk. Whether the transition ushers in renewal or further instability will depend on how quickly a credible civilian government emerges—and whether it can bridge the gulf between political elites and the people.

Analysts warn that without structural reforms—transparent governance, decentralization of power, and inclusive economic development—the country may find itself trapped in another cycle of coup and collapse.

The international community now faces a difficult question: how to support Madagascar’s path to stability without legitimizing yet another military intervention. What remains clear is that a generation has found its voice, and it will not be silenced easily.

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SDG NEWS INSIDER Actionable Intel for Government Readers
Madagascar in Crisis
Exclusive intelligence on how state collapse exposes governance and security fault lines across Africa.
Insider Briefing

Actionable Intel for Government Readers

Madagascar’s Collapse — Governance, Security & Reform
Bottom Line
Madagascar’s political collapse is a warning to nations across the Global South. When inequality, corruption, and underdevelopment go unaddressed, democratic legitimacy erodes and social unrest becomes inevitable. The president’s disappearance from public life underscores how swiftly power can evaporate when leaders lose the public’s trust.

Key Insights for Policy and Engagement

1
The Collapse of Credibility

President Rajoelina’s retreat into hiding symbolizes a broader collapse of trust in leadership. Madagascar’s unrest shows that legitimacy today is earned through performance—when leaders fail to deliver, authority dissolves overnight.

2
Youth as a Political Force

A digitally connected generation has emerged as Madagascar’s most powerful opposition—united by shared hardship rather than ideology, reshaping civic power in one of the world’s youngest democracies.

3
Development as Security

Poverty, poor infrastructure, and inequality are no longer social issues—they are national security risks. Basic services like water, electricity, and education must be treated as stability priorities.

4
The Test of Transition

The military’s promise to restore civilian rule will determine whether this marks Madagascar’s democratic rebirth or another cycle of coups. Governance now defines survival.

Takeaways for Policymakers

Madagascar’s turmoil shows that political survival depends on inclusive growth, credible governance, and institutional integrity. National and international actors must rebuild trust through jobs, infrastructure, and transparency. The next government’s success will hinge on turning youth anger into reform and transforming protest into progress.

Editor’s Note

This SDG News Insider briefing is distributed exclusively to senior policymakers and diplomats to provide timely intelligence on governance risks, civic resilience, and democratic transitions across the Global South.

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